Saturday, 17 August 2013

DO THE FACTS SPEAK FOR THEMSELVES?

(The concluding part of the trilogy on the Catholic Directory of India)

It is presumed that facts and figures speak for themselves. That largely depends on how they are presented and the methodology used. In recent times our country has been rocked by the “presumptive losses” incurred in the allocation of natural resources like coal, or scientific resources like telecom spectrum. In both cases, the tools of analysis, methodology, and even the motives of the proponents and opponents of the presumptive losses, have been suspect.

I do not wish to enter into such a controversy. Hence I have chosen to present the raw data with minimal explanatory notes or remarks, leaving the intelligent reader to draw its own conclusions. In my previous two articles, “A Glance at the Catholic Directory” and “Looking Back to Move Forward”, I have presented the preliminary data of the Catholic Directory of India (CDI) 2013, and made some observations/ comparisons with the CDI 1912. The elapse of a hundred years is a good area for study.

In this concluding piece I am presenting the comparative data of the CDIs of 1969/ 1990/ 1998/ 2013. I have chosen to begin from 1969, because this is the first CDI I have, after the conclusion of the Second Vatican Council (Vat II) in 1965. It is also the year in which the Church in India Seminar was held. It was hailed as the Indian equivalent of Vat II. It was intended to be a course correction in the life and mission (ecclesiology) of the church in India. To what extent has that change actually taken place? On a personal note, 1969 is also the year in which I turned 18, and immediately joined the Legion of Mary, my launching pad into ecclesial life. It is also the year in which I purchased a copy of the Vat II documents from Asian Trading Corporation, Bangalore.

The CDIs of 1990 and 1998 were chosen in order to have a reasonable gap for study of the evolution/ progress of the church; and 2013 obviously because it is the latest CDI. I will be presenting various tables with brief observations. I have tried to compute and compare the data in a truthful manner. However, if there are any computing errors I hope to be forgiven, and will be happy to stand corrected. My first table is of world statistics.

TABLE I – WORLD STATISTICS

(NA stands for Not Available/ Not Applicable, and APG stands for Annual Percentage Growth)
Category
1969
1990
APG
1998
APG
2013
APG
Catholics
NA
877,723,000
NA
989,366,000
1.6
1,184,358,000
1.3
Priests
NA
402,243
NA
431,459
0.9
NA
NA
Priests to Catholics ratio
NA
1:2182
NA
1:2293
NA
NA
NA
Religious
NA
1,000.780
NA
928,653
-0.9
NA
NA
Religious to Catholics ratio
NA
1:877
NA
1:1065
NA
NA
NA
Catechists
NA
338,176
NA
439.134
3.7
NA
NA
Catechists to Catholics ratio
NA
1:2595
NA
1:2253
NA
NA
NA
This data is unfortunately incomplete. Nevertheless it shows that the priests and religious’ ratio vis-à-vis the Catholic population has increased. It is unfortunate that we don’t have data on catechists in India. Back in 1912 we were told that in evangelization the Protestants were more successful than Catholics because of the deployment of lay evangelists (catechists). The success stories in Africa and South Korea are largely due to lay evangelists. The same goes for Arunachal Pradesh, the only successful mission story in post-Independent India, thanks also to the far sight of the Salesians. Let us now examine the raw data on the church in India.

TABLE II – CATHOLIC CHURCH IN INDIA

Category
1969
1990
APG
1998
APG
2013
APG
Catholics
7,607,286
13,424,000
3.6
14,908,000
1.4
17,535,429
1.2
Ecclesiastical Units (Dioceses)
84
122
2.1
140
1.9
166
1.2
Parishes
3513
6277
3.7
6277
NA
10715
NA
Mission Stations
10,025
17,467
3.5
17,467
NA
NA
NA
Institutions
8,877
22,865
7.5
22,865
NA
23,104
NA
Priests
8,680
15,072
3.5
22,974
6.6
22,451
-0.2
Brothers
2,136
1,584
-1.2
1972
3.1
2592
2.1
Sisters
30,305
62,283
5.0
76,150
2.8
94,025
1.6

This table shows that in several instances the CDI of 1998 has merely copied the data of 1990, hence is totally unreliable. The omission of the number of Mission Stations in 2013 is also most unfortunate. It is time that church statisticians realized that statistics, like accounts, are useless if they are not accurate.

I will therefore restrict my comments to the apparently correct data. We find that the Annual Percentage Growth (APG) of the Catholic population has been constantly dropping, to a low of 1.2% in 2013. The most interesting observation is on institutional growth. Since the figures of 1998 are incorrect, and that of 2013 prima facie wrong, I will restrict the comparison to 1969 and 1990. This is also the first flush of the Vat II era. We find that the APG of the Catholic population is 3.6%, and that of parishes is a similar 3.7%, but that of institutions is 7.5%. This simply means that institutions have grown at more than double the rate of the population or the parishes. So much for post Vat II de-structuring! On the other hand the number of priests has declined and the APG of sisters has dropped.

Since I live in north India, and have worked in several of its dioceses, I have selected three of them for a comparative study. They are the oldest dioceses of the north – Agra, Allahabad and Patna. Agra traces its origins to the Jesuits at Akbar’s court in the 16th century, and Allahabad and Patna to the Lhasa Tibet Mission of the Capuchins in the 18th century. In the next table I have also included the number of Catholic students in our own institutions. This is not to be found in the recapitulation of statistics, so I had to do all the arithmetic myself.

TABLE III – CATHOLICS IN OLD NORTHERN DIOCESES

Diocese
1969
1990
APG
1998
APG
2013
APG
Agra
4,965
7,880
2.3
11,155
5.2
16,807
5.8
Allahabad
7,920
8,215
0.2
11,135
4.4
11,180
Nil
Patna
41,331
58,495
-
60,605
-
65,864
-

Here I need to make some qualifying statements. History tells us that there were about 2000 Catholics in Agra at the time of Emperor Akbar, St Rudolph Aquaviva SJ and Francis Roth SJ, the Sanskrit scholar. What happened to all of them? In recent times we see that Agra’s APG is 4 times the national one. But this is nothing to boast about. It is largely due to migration into Noida, a Delhi suburb. In 2013, of the 16,807 Catholics in the Agra diocese, 8722 were in Noida alone, which is more than half the diocese with a 500-year history.

In the case of Patna the APG cannot be accurately determined, because the diocese had two bifurcations in the period under review. Several districts were carved out in 1980 to form Muzzaffarpur diocese, and again in 2006 to form Buxar diocese.

There are no such excuses for Allahabad, my parent diocese, with which I am only too familiar. In absolute terms it has a negative growth record. There are several reasons for this, but prudence prevents me from elaborating here. But I will give two instances of large-scale apostasy. Dostpur was the diocese’s biggest mission station. In 1969 it had 2013 Catholics, which is down to just 180 in 2013. Similarly the Mudila Mission had 752 Catholics in 1969, of whom just 61 remain in 2013. This is shocking! Who is to blame? Since the bishop has just been removed for his anti-ecclesial activities, I hope and pray that the Vatican will take serious note of this before appointing a new bishop.

While two of these three dioceses have nothing to crow about in the post Vat II era, look at the phenomenal growth in the educational sector, and the inversely proportionate decline in the percentage of Catholic students, as shown in Table IV below.

TABLE IV – CATHOLIC EDUCATION

Category
1969
1990
APG
1998
APG
2013
APG
Agra







Students
3,347
25,380
31.3
43,407
8.9
79,976
5.6
Catholics
282
696
7.0
972
5.0
1834
5.9
Percentage of Catholic students
8.4
2.7
-
2.2
-
2.3
-
Allahabad







Students
13,950
35,264
7.3
44,082
3.1
52,804
1.3
Catholics
1,033
978
-2.4
1357
4.9
1385
0.1
Percentage of Catholic students
7.5
2.8
-
3.1
-
2.6
-
Patna







Students
20,385
NA
-
NA
-
47056
-
Catholics
6,330
NA
-
NA
-
3549
-
Percentage of Catholic students
31
NA
-
NA
-
7.5
-

This table establishes two things: (i) If there has been a phenomenal growth in students then it is obvious that there has been proportionate growth in institutions catering to them, and (ii) That the percentage of Catholic students in our own institutions is inversely proportionate to their growth. Such institutions are gradually losing their specifically “Catholic” character, for which they claim “Minority” status from the Govt.

I must now debunk another fallacy, that Catholic institutions are at the service of the community. On 14th September 2001 I had presented a paper at the CBCI-AICU dialogue meeting at Bangalore entitled “Catholic Education in India – A Lay Perspective”. Details are available in my book “An Unfinished Symphony”. I had then taken data from the CDI 1998, in which just 43 out of 140 dioceses had given details of the number of Catholic students in their institutions. 43 dioceses are sufficiently representative for a study.

In that analysis I also drew on the 1991 Census of India information. According to it, 43.29% of the population was in the age group of 3-21 years; that is the age where they should be in school or college. The Catholic population of the 43 dioceses was 4,337,223; hence the student population would have been 1,877,584. But of these only 465,629 were in our institutions – a mere 25%. This meant that 3 out of 4 Catholics in the age group of 3-21 were not in Catholic institutions. The bishops were not willing to swallow this bitter pill. This flies in the face of the Church in India Seminar 1969 that unequivocally stated, “The first responsibility of the Catholic school is to impart Catholic education to Catholic children. Admission policies, such as criteria for selection, should conform to this primary requirement” (Pg 356).

What is the scenario in 2013? With a gradual decline in population growth one may hazard a guess that today 40% of the population would be in the 3-21 years age group. Let us look at the three selected dioceses in this light in Table V.

TABLE V – CATHOLICS IN OUR INSTITUTIONS

Diocese
Catholics
Student Population @ 40%
Actually in our Schools
Percentage
Agra
16,807
6,723
1,834
27
Allahabad
11,180
4,472
1,385
31
Patna
65,864
26,346
3,549
13

  Ironically, these three dioceses have a very high priests to Catholics ratio: Agra (71/16,807) 1:237, Allahabad (92/11,180) 1:122 and Patna (154/65,864) 1:428, as against the national ratio of (22,451/17,535,429) 1:781. Though this is just a sample survey I daresay that what I said to the CBCI in 2001 is equally valid today, that 3 out of 4 Catholic students are not in our own institutions. The causes for this are too many to be enumerated here. But it is high time that the CBCI and the CRI did a serious evaluation and course correction. As the old adage goes, “History repeats itself because we don’t learn from the past”.

I will conclude this analysis with the comparative figures of the Catholic population in 2003/2005/2013. Other than a few dioceses in the Northeast almost all other dioceses show negligible or negative growth in absolute terms. These figures should be an eye-opener: Allahabad – 12,540/ 12,650/ 11,180, Alleppey – 165,680/ 165,680/ 167,128, Bettiah – 5,719/ 5,729/ 5,843, Baruipur – 55,927/ 56,055/ 53,014. Belthangady – 20,178/ 20,100/ 20,047, Bombay – 497,850/ 504,265/ 523,458, Chanda – 12,891/ 12,891/ 12,839, Chikmagalur – 39,159/ 36,306/ 35,870, Daltonganj – 56,650/ 60,044/ 60,715, Irijalakuda – 285,000/ 256,683/ 242,610, Jabalpur – 25,187/ 28,787/ 24,979, Jhansi – 3,994/ 4,065/ 3,988, Kanjirapally – 172,050/ 172,050/ 166,342, Kannur – 32,040/ 32,040/ 31,197, Krishnagar – 60,045/ 45,163/ 60,000, Lucknow – 6,980/ 7,204/ 6,993, Madras-Mylapore – 341,314/ 341,314/ 331,881, Mananthavady – 165,653/ 167,000/ 167,590, Meerut – 26,873/ 27,192/ 27,176, Ootacamund – 84,000/ 84,500/ 81,447, Palai – 345,982/ 346,334/ 327,850, Palghat – 67,959/ 66,061/ 59,588, Port Blair – 38,860/ 39,500/ 35,211, Quilon – 233,587/ 235,922/ 217,797, Satna – 3,030/ 3,030/ 3,030, Shivagangai – 206,861/ 204,500/ 207,090, Tellicherry – 278,804/ 278,804/ 278,925, Tiruvalla – 36,127/ 36,673/ 35,499, Ujjain – 3,190/ 3,190/ 2,858, Vasai – 118,500/ 120,000/ 119,876, Vellore – 145,996/ 145,996/ 135,550, Verapoly – 269,593/ 263,337/ 247,326, Vijayapuram – 81,303/ 82,930/ 83,369. 

From the above we find that this is an all-pervasive malaise, irrespective of size, region, antiquity, rite or even of erstwhile Latin Rite territories handed over to the Oriental Rites for “evangelization”.

I cannot, in conscience “conclude” this study which is, indirectly, an analysis of the life and mission of the church in India. Two things stand out – (i) The ecclesiology of Vat II has not been followed and the findings of the Church in India Seminar 1969 have been frittered away, and (ii) That a highly institutionalized and clericalised church is digging its own grave. It is time for the Catholic Church in India to do an honest evaluation and self-analysis and seek the answer to that eternal quest “Let anyone who can hear, listen to what the Spirit is saying to the churches” (Rev 3:22).

The Papal Nuncio and those responsible for the appointment of bishops also need to pay heed. Merely making more dioceses and bishops hasn’t helped, barring the Northeast. New bishops should be appointed based on their pastoral and missionary experience, and not on their academic degrees or proximity to Rome.

Catholic directories are fine, but without Christian direction they are a mere scrap of paper. But for those who seek the truth, the facts do indeed speak for themselves.


MAY 2013

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